NCAA and NIT Analysis from Erich Doerr

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Erich Doerr’s Instant Analysis of the 2009 NCAA Tournament has proven to be quite popular.  It has been so popular that Erich has had trouble accommodating the page views.  Consequently Erich has asked that I host the tables.  So for those who had trouble accessing Erich’s tables, please see the following:

NCAA Tables

Table One: NCAA Tournament based on Pomeroy Numbers

Table Two: NCAA Tournament based on Sagarin Numbers

Table Three: NCAA Teams Probabilities and HERE

Erich also has provided analysis of the NIT.  From what I understand, San Diego State was one of the last teams rejected.  Although an NIT championship cannot replace an NCAA appearance, Aztec fans — according to Erich’s analysis – can expect to celebrate an NIT title in 2009.

NIT Tables

Table Four: NIT Tournament based on Pomeroy Numbers

Table Five: NIT Tournament based on Sagarin Numbers

Table Six: NIT Teams Probabilities and HERE

Once again I want to thank Erich for providing this analysis.  Hopefully everyone agrees that this only makes March Madness all the more enjoyable.

- DJ

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7 thoughts on “NCAA and NIT Analysis from Erich Doerr”

  1. Pingback: An Instant Analysis of the 2009 NCAA Tournament « The Wages of Wins Journal

  2. An NIT update through tonight’s games:
    1W San Diego State 14.01%
    2S Notre Dame 10.08%
    4E Miami (Fla.) 8.61%
    1E Florida 8.52%
    3S New Mexico 8.13%
    4S Kentucky 6.67%
    4W Kansas State 6.61%
    1M Auburn 5.91%
    3M Baylor 5.76%
    2W St. Mary’s 5.26%
    2M Virginia Tech 4.93%
    4M Tulsa 3.95%
    6W Davidson 3.15%
    6E Rhode Island 3.09%
    1S Creighton 3.04%
    2E Penn State 2.28%

  3. What is the NIT? ;)

    Seriously, this post probably gets less than 1/100th of the attention.

  4. This post real purpose is to provide the NCAA tournament tables on a more consistent web provider, as my original host stopped serving up the bandwidth.
    Trust me, i’m just biding my time until the real tourney starts

  5. I’m interested in how you come up with NCAA Teams Probabilities because I don’t see any simple correlations between the Pomeroy and Sagarin numbers and the Probablility.

  6. Stephen, there is no simple correlation.
    For the Pomeroy probabilities, see the link in a comment I wrote to Nick on the previous post (2009 Instant analysis).

    For the Sagarin probabilities, see the links from
    my article last year

    I would link them all, but then my comment would get spam-filtered

  7. Pingback: 2009 NCAA Tournament – The Super Sweet 16 « The Wages of Wins Journal

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