FIBA U19 WC: Team Summaries II

Devin Dignam (of NBeh? “fame”) is the Toronto Raptors writer for the Wages of Wins Network. His background with the Raptors gives him unique insight into many areas including the draft, overpaid players and overrated players.

The FIBA U19 World Championships took place from June 30th to July 10th, but it has taken me until now to compile all 62 box scores and calculate the Estimated Wins Produced numbers. Over the next week or two, I’ll be writing several posts about this tournament that focus on familiar Wages of Wins themes.

Team Summaries (Part II)

Last time I started off with the three bottom ranked teams – Tunisia, Korea, and Taiwan. Today I’ll be following up with China, Egypt, and Canada.

13. China

Record: 2-3
EWP: 3.29
EWP40: 0.125

China's MVP: Ailun Guo

Despite placing 13th, China played like a good team. In five games China amassed 3.29 wins, 10th amongst all teams (and remember, that was done in only five games). If we rank all the teams by EWP40, China looks even better: by that measure, they rank 6th. Why the disparity between their rank, record, and stats? China was in a pool with two strong teams: the US and Serbia. They barely lost to Serbia (5 points) and were soundly beaten by the US (16 points). In order to advance, China had to beat Egypt…and unfortunately for them, they lost a close game (4 points). Following this, China beat Korea (18 points) and then in a battle of the Chinas blew out Taiwan (43 points). The relatively close losses to Serbia and Egypt, combined with the large wins over Korea and Taiwan, means that China was a better team than their record showed. Only three players on the team produced in the negative range: Xuhang Zhu, Pu Wang, and Hanchen Luo. Four players managed EWP40s above 0.200: Tonglin Sun, Ailun Guo, Quan Gu, and Zhelin Wang. The MVP of the team was Guo, who produced 0.77 wins. The LVP of the team was Zhu, who produced -0.23 wins. The best performance in a single game was by Guo, who produced an estimated 0.52 wins. The worst performance in a single game was by Zirui Wang, who produced an estimated -0.24 wins.

Player

Position

EWP40

EWP

H. LUO

G

-0.012

-0.02

ZI. WANG

G

0.072

0.22

A. GUO

G

0.227

0.77

P. WANG

G/F

-0.060

-0.03

M. JU

G/F

0.080

0.29

Q. GU

F

0.221

0.25

X. ZHAI

F

0.142

0.52

X. ZHU

F/C

-0.237

-0.23

T. SUN

F/C

0.297

0.74

T. XU

F

0.059

0.03

ZH. WANG

F/C

0.211

0.61

M. LI

C

0.058

0.15

12. Egypt

Record: 1-7
EWP: -0.18
EWP40: -0.004

Egypt's MVP: Ezz Ahmed

By virtue of the upset win over China Egypt advanced into the second round and played a total of eight games. Unfortunately for them, they only managed the one win. The silver lining is that they still finished ahead of China, but Egypt really did not play well. They were blown out by the US (55 points) and Serbia (18 points) in round one, lost to Croatia (2 points), Canada (20 points), and Lithuania (19 points) in round two, and lost to Brazil (14 points) and Canada (5 points) in the final round. Ranked by Estimated Wins and EWP40, Egypt falls to 14th in the standings. Only five players on the team produced in the positive range, with only one player – Ezz Ahmed – finishing with a EWP40 above 0.200. Ahmed finished as the team’s MVP, with an estimated 1.04 wins produced, while Ahmed Mostafa had the fewest estimated wins produced, with -1.04. The best performance in a single game was by Omar Mohamed, who managed half a win – an estimated 0.50 wins – in the close loss to Croatia. The worst performance in a single game was by Ahmed Gamal, who produced an estimated -0.26 wins.

Player

Position

EWP40

EWP

A. MOSTAFA

-0.309

-1.04

O. MOHAMED

0.000

0.00

M. ELMOATAZ

-0.057

-0.05

H. HOSSAM

-0.022

-0.04

M. HANY

-0.031

-0.12

E. AHMED

0.213

1.04

S. SAMIR

-0.090

-0.30

A. GAMAL

-0.196

-0.56

Y. SHOUSHA

0.004

0.01

M. MOHAMED

0.162

0.41

Z. MOHAMED

-0.106

-0.34

A. AHMED

0.133

0.83

11. Canada

Record: 3-5
EWP: 2.44
EWP40: 0.061

Canada's MVP: Dyshawn Pierre

Despite a close loss to Serbia (4 points) and a blowout loss to powerhouse Lithuania (43 points), Canada beat Korea (13 points) to advance to the second round. In the second round they lost handily to the US (29 points) and Serbia (21 points), but beat Egypt (20 points). In the final round they lost a close game to Latvia (3 points) – a game in which they actually outplayed Latvia – and then beat Egypt once again (5 points) to sew up 11th place. Overall, the team finished ranked 12th by Estimated Wins and EWP40. Half of the twelve players on the team finished with positive win totals – led by team MVP and WoW All-tournament team member Dyshawn Pierre, who finished with an estimated 1.74 wins and a EWP40 of 0.313 – and half of the team finished in the red, “led” by Julian Clarke, who finished with an estimated -0.76 wins and a EWP40 of -0.167. The best performance in a single game was by Pierre, who managed 0.58 wins. The worst performance in a single game was by Clarke, who produced an estimated -0.26 wins.

Player

Position

EWP40

EWP

K. PANGOS

G

0.203

1.29

J. CLARKE

G/F

-0.167

-0.76

S. BHULLAR

C

0.161

0.47

M. LETKEMAN

F/C

-0.194

-0.37

J. LOMOMBA

G/F

-0.064

-0.27

O. HANLAN

G

0.119

0.52

D. PIERRE

F/C

0.313

1.74

P. SCRUBB

G/F

-0.172

-0.56

N. WEBSTER-CHAN

F/C

-0.228

-0.08

J. SHAVER

F/C

0.148

0.50

B. BUNCE

C

0.126

0.14

S. JANKOVIC

C

-0.097

-0.18

Profiled so far:

Rank Team Record EWP40 EWP
16 Tunisia 0-5 -0.072 -1.80
15 Korea 2-3 -0.004 -0.10
14 Taiwan 1-4 -0.025 0.63
13 China 2-3 0.125 3.29
12 Egypt 1-7 -0.004 -0.18
11 Canada 3-5 0.061 2.44
– Devin

Author’s note: You’ve probably noticed that I refer to “Estimated Wins Produced” in this article. Estimated Wins Produced are slightly less accurate, but easier to calculate than “regular” Wins Produced. To calculate Estimated Wins Produced, take a player’s Win Score per minute and adjust it for position played. From there, PAWSmin is plugged into a formula to determine Estimated WP40.