NBA 2012 free agents to keep an eye on part 1: Easy Targets

Free agency is a fun time. Much like the draft there’s movement and team fortunes can change in an instant! James has started some work looking over which free agents are out there and we thought we’d give you a quick rundown of some names that should be on your radar. Obviously we can’t keep up with all the movement, so use this as a grade if your team has signed the player and a barometer if they haven’t. Today I’ll be going over players that are still young and have been consistently putting up good numbers.

I’m using 2012 numbers for all of these players. I’ll put in career and previous season caveats though. I’ll of course be using the amazing Player Comparison Engine from the NBA Geek

The Good

Landry Fields

  • Status: RFA for Knicks
  • Position: Shooting Guard
  • Age: 24

Good at:

  • Rebounding (Excellent)
  • Steals (Good)
  • Personal Fouls (Good)
  • Shooting from Two Point Range (Good)
  • Assists (Slightly above average)
  • Turnovers (Slightly above average)
  • Blocks (Average)

Bad at:

  • Three Point Shooting (Really Bad)
  • Free Throw Shooting (Really Bad)
  • Shot Selection (Takes too many threes for his percentages)

Conclusion:

Any shot at him, you take it! The Knicks have first dibs, so if they don’t sign him they’ve messed up. Fields was good at everything but shooting last season. There’s also a silver living. His rookie year his three point shooting was quite good. His free throw shooting has always been below average, but I’ll take that hit for a player that can do everything else well.

Ryan Anderson

  • Status: RFA for Orlando
  • Position: Power Forward
  • Age: 24

Good at:

  • Three Point Shooting (Excellent)
  • Free Throw Shooting (Excellent)
  • Offensive Rebounds (Excellent)
  • Turnovers (Excellent)
  • Personal Fouls (Excellent)
  • Two Point Shooting (Average)

Bad At:

  • Steals (Slightly below average)
  • Defensive Rebounds (Bad)
  • Assists (Bad)
  • Blocks (Bad)

Conclusion

Just like Fields, if he hits the open market then Orlando messed up. If you recall, a change to the Wins Produced formula was how defensive rebounds are valued. In essence, when you get a defensive rebound your team mate probably would have gotten it around half the time. So it’s not a glaring flaw for Anderson to be less than stellar there. His blocks and steals are low, but so are his fouls. Finally, I have no complaint about his lack of passing, as he should be shooting the ball given his numbers.

Kris Humphries

  • Status: Unrestricted Free Agent
  • Position:Power Forward
  • Age:27

Good at:

  • Rebounding (Excellent)
  • Blocks (Excellent)
  • Personal Fouls (Excellent)
  • Two Point Shooting (Excellent)
  • Turnovers (Slightly above average)

Bad At:

  • Assists (Bad)
  • Steals (Bad)
  • Free Throws (Bad)

Conclusion

Well New Jersey has chosen to go after big names (and failed) and basically ignore Humphries. He doesn’t shoot threes, which is fine for a big. His assists and free throw shooting are poor but he easily makes up for it with his work on the glass. Finally his steals are low, but he doesn’t foul and he does get blocks. This is an easy name to go after.

Gerald Wallace

  • Status: Unrestricted Free Agent Re-Signed with Brooklyn to a 4 year $40 million deal.
  • Position: Small Forward
  • Age: 29

Good at:

  • Defensive Rebounds (Excellent)
  • Assists (Good)
  • Steals (Good)
  • Blocks (Average)
  • Personal Fouls (Good)
  • Two point shooting (Good)
  • Free throw shooting (Good)
  • Offensive Rebounds (Slightly above average)
  • Turnovers (Average)

Bad at:

  • Three point shooting

Conclusion

Smart move by the Nets. Sure his stealing and shooting have gone down a bit in recent years. When you have a player good at almost everything though, you sign them. The contract is a bit long given him age, but its price is excellent.

Nicolas Batum

  • Status:Restricted Free Agent with the Portland Trail Blazers
  • Position:Small Forward
  • Age:23

Good at:

  • Two Point, Three Point, Free Throw shooting (Excellent)
  • Personal Fouls (Excellent)
  • Blocks (Excellent)
  • Offensive Rebounds (Good)
  • Turnovers (Above average)
  • Steals (Average)

Bad at:

  • Defensive Rebounds (Bad)
  • Assists (Bad)

Conclusion

Ok, Portland seems to have regained their level head. After a Billy Beane like blowup in response to a bad stretch, they’ve gone back to making good moves. That should mean that Batum is an easy choice to be re-signed. If not? I’ll gladly take him on the Nuggets. I’m more than ok with slightly “greedy” players if they can shoot. And as I mentioned, defensive rebounds are fine as he easily makes up for them on the offensive glass.

Ersan Ilyasova

  • Status: Unrestricted Free Agent
  • Position: Power Forward
  • Age: 25

Good At:

  • Rebounding (Excellent)
  • Turnovers (Good)
  • Blocks (Average)
  • Personal Fouls (Average)
  • Shooting (Excellent, insane three point % last season)

Bad at:

  • Assists (Bad)
  • Steals (Below Average)

Conclusion

I’m beginning to sound like a broken record. If you can shoot amazing, I don’t want you passing. Also his steals are marginally worse than average. Ilyasova was amazing last season and given his Unrestricted status, he may be the best prize on the market. I have to leave for a few hours, he better not be unsigned when I get back!

Conclusion

Hope that gives you a nice list to start targeting. We’ll be giving more free agent analysis as the week goes on. Here’s hoping your team gets the right player.

-Dre

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