Will Kevin Durant Be the Best Rookie?

How much does the pre-season data tell us about a rookie’s first season? Last year there were 17 rookies who played at least 100 minutes in the pre-season and at least 500 minutes in the regular season.  Yes, 17 is a small sample.  Still, it’s all we got so let’s …

A Few Wednesday Notes

Here are a few comments for Wednesday.  A quick summary…. Stacey Brook is going to be on the radio, a column from Ed Glaeser indicates that we don’t know how to blog, and I posted a few more comments on the Milwaukee Bucks.

Forecasting the NBA Champion and MVP

Forecasts for the regular season in the Eastern Conference and Western Conference have been posted.  Now it’s time to take a stab at the post-season.  Assuming the regular season forecasts are correct (so we are already starting off badly), here is how I see the playoffs unfolding (and additionally, my …

Forecasting the Western Conference for 2007-08

Yesterday I offered a forecast for the Eastern Conference that had many, many words and very few specifics.  Primarily that is because the Eastern Conference has a few dominant teams (Boston, Chicago, and maybe Cleveland and Detroit), one bad team (the Milwaukee Bucks), and ten teams that are hard to …

Misplacing the Best in Denver

Across the past few years the Nuggets have had three problems building a championship contender.  First, the Nuggets have put their money into unproductive scorers (i.e. Carmelo Anthony and Allen Iverson).  Second, the players who do produce wins for this team have a history of injuries.  Finally, and perhaps the …