Random Thoughts on a Saturday Night

Here is a blog post that kind of got away from me.  It’s Saturday night and I had a few thoughts about what to write about. Rather than choose, though, I decided to just cram all my ideas into one column.  So the following will start with a conversation I …

Statistical Analysis vs. Human Experts

Can statistical analysis best human judgment?  This is one of the arguments that we make in The Wages of Wins.  And we have seen that this one argument has been greeted by a bit of skepticism from some of our readers (and others who have never read our book).  Typically, …

Blaming Kaman

At some point in this post I am going to get to the Clippers and Chris Kaman. But let me start someplace else – and yes, I think it’s relevant – before getting to the Clippers-Kaman story. Why Statistics are Tracked? This is how The Wages of Wins begins: Sports …

The Return of the Bulls

For twelve seasons, beginning in 1986-87 and ending in 1997-98, the Chicago Bulls boasted a positive efficiency differential (offensive efficiency – defensive efficiency) every year.  And not surprisingly, this team was quite successful, winning 69% of its regular season contests. Then in 1998 we saw the great exodus.  Michael Jordan, …

Week Three QB Score and RB Score Rankings

Week Three QB Score Rankings Overall QB Score Rankings Week Three RB Score Rankings Overall RB Score Rankings The Quarterback Stories The big quarterback story from Week Three was the return of Donovan McNabb. In terms of QB Score per play, McNabb was the second best quarterback in 2006.  In …

Searching for Greatness in Portland

When we last left our story I was comparing the Blazers of today to the Nuggets from the early 1990s.  Just to review… the Nuggets from the early 1990s were built around a dominant big man – Dikembe Mutombo.  The Nuggets surrounded Mutombo with a collection of young talent that …

Did Brett Favre Produce All Those Wins?

History was made when the Green Bay Packers defeated the New York Giants last Sunday.  With this victory — the 149th of Brett Favre’s career — Favre set the all-time record for wins by a starting NFL quarterback. Players are generally taught that there is “no I in team” and …