Statistical Thinking in Sports

Last month a book entitled Statistical Thinking in Sports was published by Chapman&Hall/CRC. Edited by Jim Albert and Ruud Koning, this book brings together a collection of essays examining various statistical aspects of sports. Included in this collection is work examining soccer, baseball, running, tennis, and one article on professional …

While at the beach

This past Wednesday morning I received an e-mail from Tim Lemke of The Washington Times. Lemke was working on a story examining whether or not there was any real impact in professional sports from scandals (such as the recent behavior of NBA referee Tim Donaghy). Lemke’s story, entitled Nothing Like …

Can Adam Morrison Be Saved?

On Sunday I noted that there was a 0.69 correlation between a rookie’s productivity and that player’s per-minute productivity the rest of his career. This was an exceedingly crude study. The only explanatory variable was rookie performance. Players who played more than 10 years were lumped in with players who …

Point Shaving in the NBA

There are two big stories today. The first is the proposed Kevin Garnett deal, which appears to make the Celtics into a title contender in 2008 (but perhaps in trouble in a few years) and the Timberwolves into a lottery team (which they already were). Although this is a great …

When Will We Know About Greg Oden?

On Friday I compared the performance of the top pick in the NBA draft to the performance of the most productive player selected in each draft since 1991. Or as I put it – I compared The Top Pick vs. The Top Pick. In this post was the following table, …

The Top Pick vs. The Top Pick

Today I am going to briefly address two questions. 1. How often is the number one pick in the draft the most productive NBA player? 2. Who is the most productive NBA player from each draft class (since 1991)? To answer the first question we first need to consider the …