Four Final Four Thoughts

Yesterday I was on Bloomberg Television, discussing the NCAA Final Four (and a bit of baseball) with Rhonda Shaffler. Let me expand briefly on what I said. 1. The Final Four is a Big Business for a Small Number of Schools CBS pays the NCAA $6.2 billion – over 11 …

Is Kevin Martin the Most Improved?

If we compare player performance in the basketball, baseball, and football we see that over time, NBA players are the most consistent. Football players tend to be quite inconsistent. Although NBA players tend to be relatively consistent across time, player performance can change. And each year the NBA has an …

Incorporating Defense

The Wins Produced model begins with a simple idea.  Wins are a function of offensive and defensive efficiency.  This idea can be found in the work of John Hollinger and Dean Oliver.  And with a bit of math, you can show that wins are indeed a function of these efficiency …

An Inconsistent Consistency Story

A few days ago I made a comment about the consistency of the Minnesota Timberwolves. The point I was trying to make was that given the past productivity of the players employed by Minnesota, one should expect this team to be hovering around the average mark. This means this team …

NBA Babble Babble

NBA Babble and Win Score had added a couple of new features. You now have the following options in viewing the Win Score of NBA Players. Win Score stats by team Win Score stats by day Win Score stats by player Win Score stats for every game, every player Of …

But You Are Consistent

Before I get to my Monday post, let me just note that Henry Abbott and TrueHoop have officially joined ESPN.com. You can see the new TrueHoop (which Henry promises will be the same as the old, just better) by looking HERE. For those not familiar with TrueHoop, it is the …

Calculating Economic Values

The Baseball Economist has now been on the market for three days. Surprisingly, some people have not bought this book. To further advance its cause, I thought I would spend part of my Sunday commenting on this book again. The Scully Model In Chapter 13 Bradbury asks “What is a …

Surviving Wade

Dwyane Wade went down with an injury about three weeks ago. At this time, the Miami Heat had a record of 26-27 and I had just analyzed the Heat’s chances to repeat. This analysis indicated that Wade was the team’s most productive player. Unfortunately several aging veterans were not producing …

Maybe Players Are What They Are

Yesterday the Milwaukee Bucks fired their head coach, Terry Stotts. Little explanation was given initially for a move that appears on the surface to be pointless. With only 18 games left in the regular season, changing coaches would seem to have no impact on the final outcome this team will …