Team Stats from Eurobasket 2011 (part I)

The previous two posts I wrote about the Eurobasket were about the MVP, but now I’d like to take a quick look at some team stats:

  • Rank
  • Win-loss record
  • Estimated Wins
  • Estimated Wins per 40 minutes (EWP40)
  • Team MVP
  • Team LVP

This post will contain the teams that finished in the top 12, and the next will contain the teams that finished ranked 13-24.


Spain

Rank: 1st
Record: 10-1
EWP40: 0.204
Estimated Wins: 11.25
MVP: P. Gasol (Est. Wins: 3.40)
LVP: S. Lull (Est. Wins: -0.39)
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France

Rank 2nd
Record 9-2
EWP40 0.121
Estimated Wins 6.75
MVP N. Batum (Est. Wins: 2.04)
LVP S. Tchicamboud (Est. Wins: -0.36)

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Russia

Rank 3rd
Record 10-1
EWP40 0.171
Estimated Wins 9.35
MVP A. Kirilenko (Est. Wins: 2.32)
LVP D. Khvostov (Est. Wins: -0.16)

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Macedonia

Rank 4th
Record 7-4
EWP40 0.095
Estimated Wins 5.30
MVP B. McCalebb (Est. Wins: 2.48)
LVP D. Sokolov (Est. Wins: -0.34)

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Lithuania

Rank 5th
Record 8-3
EWP40 0.149
Estimated Wins 8.20
MVP S. Jasaitis (Est. Wins: 1.98)
LVP T. Delininkaitis (Est. Wins: -0.16)

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Greece

Rank 6th
Record 7-4
EWP40 0.135
Estimated Wins 7.45
MVP A. Fostis (Est. Wins: 2.55)
LVP D. Mavroeidis (Est. Wins: -0.30)

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Slovenia

Rank 7th
Record 6-5
EWP40 0.104
Estimated Wins 5.71
MVP M. Begic (Est. Wins: 1.88)
LVP G. Jagodnik (Est. Wins: -0.37)
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Serbia

Rank 8th
Record 5-6
EWP40 0.087
Estimated Wins 4.87
MVP M. Macvan (Est. Wins: 1.04)
LVP B. Marjanovic (Est. Wins: -0.18)

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Germany

Rank 9th
Record 4-4
EWP40 0.107
Estimated Wins 4.27
MVP D. Nowitzki (Est. Wins: 1.58)
LVP S. Schultze (Est. Wins: -0.51)

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Finland

Rank 9th
Record 3-5
EWP40 0.054
Estimated Wins 2.14
MVP T. Kotti (Est. Wins: 0.97)
LVP H. Möttölä (Est. Wins: -0.38)

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Turkey

Rank 11th
Record 3-5
EWP40 0.125
Estimated Wins 5.01
MVP E. Preldzic (Est. Wins: 1.21)
LVP K. Tunçeri (Est. Wins: -0.51)

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Georgia

Rank 11th
Record 2-6
EWP40 0.100
Estimated Wins 4.00
MVP V. Sanikidze (Est. Wins: 1.68)
LVP A. Boisa (Est. Wins: -0.07)

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- Devin

Devin Dignam (of NBeh? “fame”) is the Toronto Raptors writer for the Wages of Wins Network. His background with the Raptors gives him unique insight into many areas including the draft, overpaid players and overrated players.

Quick Takes: Gasol v Navarro II

How about any of the above for MVP?

A quick follow up on the Pau Gasol vs Juan Carlos Navarro for MVP debate.

Something that FIBA Europe did for each game during the Eurobasket was to assign a “top performer” from each team. Now, very shortly I will be doing some more research how these top performers were determined, but in light of yesterday’s article (where I wrote that Gasol was more deserving than Navarro) I thought it would be interesting to take a look at the number of times each of these players were given the “top performer” honours on the official Eurobasket website:

Player

Games Played

# of “Top Performer” awards

Pau Gasol

10

7

Serge Ibaka

11

2

Marc Gasol

11

1

Rudy Fernandez

11

1

Juan Carlos Navarro

11

0

Interesting. According to FIBA’s own website, Gasol was Spain’s top performer in seven of the ten games he participated in – including the final against France. And Navarro was never deemed Spain’s “top performer”, despite the fact that he played in all eleven games. Why did FIBA Europe decide to contradict all their previous efforts at determining the most productive Spanish player?

Well…we know why, but still, that knowledge doesn’t make the MVP decision any more palatable or more just. Gasol deserved that MVP!

And just in case you are someone who is skeptical about everything we say here at the Wages of Wins Journal,  I’m not the only one who thinks that way.

- Devin

Devin Dignam (of NBeh? “fame”) is the Toronto Raptors writer for the Wages of Wins Network. His background with the Raptors gives him unique insight into many areas including the draft, overpaid players and overrated players.

Eurobasket 2011: Navarro steals Gasol’s MVP

Spain won the 2011 Eurobasket today, and unlike the U19 FIBA World Championships, this time I was keeping up with the games. Consequently, I have the Estimated Wins Produced stats from all 90 games ready to go, only hours after the final whistle!

Who should have won the MVP?

"I'll let you have this one"

Following his 27 points in the final, Juan Carlos Navarro was named the MVP of the tournament. Did he deserve it? Here is the list of the top 15 players in the Eurobasket tournament, as ranked by Estimated Wins Produced:

Table 1: Eurobasket Players ranked by Estimated Wins

Player Country EWP40 EW
Pau Gasol Spain 0.519 3.4
Antonis Fotsis Greece 0.343 2.55
Bo McCalebb Macedonia 0.261 2.48
Andrei Kirilenko Russia 0.285 2.32
Nicolas Batum France 0.236 2.04
Simas Jasaitis Lithuania 0.264 1.98
Tony Parker France 0.216 1.89
Mirza Begic Slovenia 0.345 1.88
Juan Carlos Navarro Spain 0.239 1.78
Vitaliy Fridzon Russia 0.306 1.78
Viktor Sanikidze Georgia 0.261 1.68
Vojdan Stojanovski Macedonia 0.216 1.59
Dirk Nowitzki Germany 0.265 1.58
Chris Kaman Germany 0.27 1.51
Zoran Dragic Slovenia 0.222 1.48
  • Note: players in bold were named to the all-tournament team

Navarro’s teammate Pau Gasol was clearly the best player in the tournament. In addition to being tops in terms of total wins, Gasol was also the most efficient player (as measured by EWP/40) in the entire tournament. The fact that Gasol lost out to his teammate is a travesty. But overall, the all-tournament team did pretty well. Of the five selections, the only one I have an issue with is Navarro. Which isn’t too bad – it’s not like he won the MVP or anything.

What would cause someone to put Navarro on the all-tournament team? If we rank all players by total points scored, we may find out:

Table 2: Eurobasket Players ranked by total points.

Player Country EW Points
Bo McCalebb Macedonia 2.48 235
Tony Parker France 1.89 221
Juan Carlos Navarro Spain 1.78 206
Pau Gasol Spain 3.4 201
Andrei Kirilenko Russia 2.32 164
Dirk Nowitzki Germany 1.58 156
Nenad Krstic Serbia 0.43 155
Nicolas Batum France 2.04 152
Dusko Savanovic Serbia 0.66 147
Marc Gasol Spain 1.3 146
Antonis Fotsis Greece 2.55 130
Goran Dragic Slovenia 1.01 129
Pero Antic Macedonia 1.1 128
Ioannis Bourousis Greece 1.06 128
Chris Kaman Germany 1.51 124
  • Note: players in bold were named to the all-tournament team

Wow, that code was pretty easy to crack. In order to be named to the all-tournament team, all you had to do was score the most total points. The MVP was going to come from someone who played on the winning team – which was Spain – so McCalebb and Parker were out of the running (had France won the final, you’d better believe that Parker would’ve won the MVP). The reason that Navarro got the nod over Gasol seems to be that Navarro scored a gargantuan five more points! Rather incredible, isn’t it?

WoW All-tournament team

Given that I disagree with Navarro’s MVP and all-tournament team selection, a new all-tournament team is in order. In order to determine the WoW all-tournament team, all I did was choose the top players (in terms of Estimated Wins) at each position. That gives us the following list:

Table 3: Devin’s All-Tournament Team

Player Country Position EWP40 Estimated Wins
Pau Gasol Spain F/C 0.519 3.4
Antonis Fotsis Greece F 0.343 2.55
Andrei Kirilenko Russia F/C 0.285 2.32
Bo McCalebb Macedonia G 0.264 2.48
Nicolas Batum France G/F 0.236 2.04
Mirza Begic Slovenia C 0.345 1.88
Simas Jasaitis Lithuania F 0.264 1.98
Tony Parker France G 0.216 1.89
  • Note: players in bold were named to the all-tournament team

As usual, I’ve cheated and added three backups. But even with the three backups, Navarro still doesn’t make the team, let alone win the MVP.

- Devin

Devin Dignam (of NBeh? “fame”) is the Toronto Raptors writer for the Wages of Wins Network. His background with the Raptors gives him unique insight into many areas including the draft, overpaid players and overrated players.